Three Are In, Three To Go

Well, no internet at the in-laws and we were eating at a Chinese-Vietnamese fusion restaurant (so no bar) during the Duke-West Virginia game, but I did have a backup just in case it was a close game, thanks to getting good reception in the car for the CBS HD feed on my laptop.

Congrats to Joe D (You’re My Boy Blue, 1st or 2nd), Kevin J (Hummeless, 2nd-4th), and Kim B (Blue Devil Blues, 1st-3rd) for being guaranteed money, and all for the first time!  Six are vying for the remaining two money spots and 47-48 are vying for the $40 Bonus.

Mid-Major Break-In

Well, this game didn’t matter in the standings or bonus, just who you thought would be a better team to either beat Duke/WV or lose to Duke/WV. After watching the second half, blech. Butler went almost 11 minutes (until 1:35 left in the game) without a field goal and in that span committed four turnovers, missed ten field goals, and missed three free throws (including a front end of a one-and-one), and still WON the game. This is the mid-major we should aspire to?  But even playing in their home city, that huge arena didn’t seem to feel like a home game.

And we wait…

A few more days until the Final Four starts so hopefully everyone has gotten a good break from games. Don’t forget, 44-48 entries now have a chance to win the $40 bonus, so all hope is not lost. In the meantime, congrats to UNC for making the NIT final, which means they actually cared to play. And sorry for Oregon St. for not defending their CBI title.

Reluctantly Duke

Never cared for Duke.  But I’ll need them to win it all and score a lot of points to try and take 5th place.  One person who’s happy for Duke’s win is You’re My Boy Blue who has guaranteed himself at least 3rd place ($170) so he can start spending the money now.   The other 12 will have to wait and see what happens next week.  Here are the Final Four Possibilities:

If MICHIGAN ST/BUTLER beats  W VIRGINIA in the final, then the possible winners are...
 The Pride Of Troy! Score:118 (place 1 winner)
 Max Approved Score:114 (place 2 winner)
 You're My Boy Blue Score:108 (place 3 winner)
 Another Two-Peat Score:107 (place 4 winner)
 Larzby Score:106 (tiebreak=137)
 The Mighty Mobelfakta Score:106 (tiebreak=142)
 Hummeless Score:106 (tiebreak=145)
 Blue Devil Blues Score:106 (tiebreak=169)

If  W VIRGINIA beats MICHIGAN ST/BUTLER in the final, then the possible winners are...
 The Pride Of Troy! Score:118 (place 1 winner)
 Max Approved Score:114 (place 2 winner)
 You're My Boy Blue Score:108 (place 3 winner)
 Another Two-Peat Score:107 (tiebreak=128)
 Punani59 Score:107 (tiebreak=131)

If MICHIGAN ST/BUTLER beats        DUKE in the final, then the possible winners are...
 You're My Boy Blue Score:116 (place 1 winner)
 Hummeless Score:114 (tiebreak=145)
 Blue Devil Blues Score:114 (tiebreak=169)
 The Pride Of Troy! Score:110 (place 4 winner)
 Another Two-Peat Score:107 (tiebreak=128)
 Jinx Score:107 (tiebreak=160)

If        DUKE beats MICHIGAN ST/BUTLER in the final, then the possible winners are...
 Blue Devil Blues Score:126 (place 1 winner)
 You're My Boy Blue Score:116 (place 2 winner)
 Eros Score:115 (place 3 winner)
 Hummeless Score:114 (place 4 winner)
 FOMI Score:111 (tiebreak=140)
 Deemed to Win Score:111 (tiebreak=144)

Good or Bad Calls?

Was watching but unable to listen to the game but there seemed to be some questionable calls (including allowing just 0.2 seconds to run off the clock on the intentionally missed free throw).  Will have to see what happened there.

But congrats to Michigan St. (again) for making the Final Four.  They always seem to sneak in, especially in broken brackets.  No one picked them but it did eliminate Another Two-Peat (who was the only one to pick Tenn) from winning first.  The next game is crucial in terms of standings.  If Baylor wins, only 9 can win the money spots with 4 still having a chance for 1st.  It’ll also give The Pride of Troy! at least 4th place and Marinomac at least a tie or 5th place (could lose the tiebreaker).  If Duke wins, 13 will still be alive but only 3 could win 1st (You’re My Boy Blue, The Pride of Troy!, and Blue Devil Blues) with You’re My Boy Blue guaranteed at least 3rd place.

Bonus Possibility

With the Big 12 down to just one team, this is the scenario for the Bonus.  If Baylor loses in the Final to Butler or Tennessee, then my mom Besst will win the $40 Bonus Prize.  Anything else and no one wins Bonus1 and we go to Bonus2.  This will open the Bonus back up to everyone who won’t finish in the top 5.  The winner will be the closest to the total points in final and if entries are tied, then the most points in the pool.

I Don’t Know What to Think

WVU goes 0 for its first 17 16 from 2-point range; Kentucky goes 0 for its first 20 from 3-point range.  West Virginia misses 8 free throws after taking a 61-45 lead with 4:25 left.  Somehow, WVU is going to the Final Four for the first since 1959.  Duke is now the last #1 seed.  29 picked WVU.  Larzby is still in first and has a 12.5% chance for first but can’t pick up any more points.  The overwhelming favorite is The Pride of Troy! who has a 87.5% chance for money and a 50% chance for 1st.  He is also trying to get his 3rd year in the money (the previous were 4th place finishes).  Six have a 12.5% chance for 1st.  Just 17 can win money.