Tuesday, March 20, 2001                      http://www.HWCI.com/ncaa
Issue # 8.2.4 "Odds are on Kim's side..."

2001 HWCI NCAA TOURNAMENT POOL
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LA MIRADA, CA (smt)-- There are 32,768 possible outcomes of this pool. If we are looking at winning some money, six entries have better than 30% chance of winning, led by KIM (1st-Tied, 80 pts) with 11,926 winning scenarios (36.4%). But it's HE HATE ME TOO (6th-T, 78) with the greatest chance of winning the $275 first-place prize (16.7%). LIL PQ (1st-T, 80) and ZERV THE GREEK (4th-T, 79) are the only others with a better than 1 in 10 of winning first (14.5 and 12.7%, respectively). Sixteen (16) have a better than 10% chance of winning money. But only four will- the breakdown: 1st: $275, 2nd: $150, 3rd: $100, 4th: $65. The tiebreaker (total points in Final) could play a key role in determining the winners.

Thirty-six (36) entries still have a chance for first place with RQE (30th-T, 69) with only four chances (0.01%). Fifty-three entries still have a chance for at least the $65 fourth-place prize with PATTOMAN (34th-T, 68) with only eight chances (0.02%). Of course, some of these chances are if Gonzaga beats Georgetown in the Final, but hey, at least there's a small hope. Six entries have no chance at all. DYLAN (62), tied for 53rd place, actually has 110 possible outcomes (0.3%) for first place (thanks to his UCLA pick to win it all). So anything can happen. It'll be a wild weekend.