Monday, March 20, 2000                         http://www.HWCI.com/ncaa
Issue # 6.2.3 "Patto with edge..."		 

                     2000 HWCI NCAA TOURNAMENT POOL
                     ==============================

               PATTO WITH A 1 IN 3 CHANCE OF TAKING FIRST
    Twenty-three still alive for money spots but only 14 can take 1st

     LA MIRADA/EL SEGUNDO, CA (smt)-  Just two of the six rounds of the
NCAA Tournament have been completed but already thirteen will be
pondering what went wrong for the next two weekends.  The Possibilities
list is out and it shows PATTO (6th, 78) with a 36.84% chance of 
winning first place and over 50% chance of winning any money.  The 
current leader, MORALES' MOUNDS (1st, 84), has an almost 80% chance of 
winning any money but only a 28.71% of winning first.  Twelve others
still have their eye on the first place prize of $180 while 21 more
will hope to profit from this pool.  THE MIGHTY MOBELFAKTA (3rd, 80)
and JACKASS (2nd, 82) are the other two with a greater than 50% 
chance of winning money (54.27% and 52.25%, respectively).
LUIS ENRIQUE'S ARMY (23rd-4, 71) has the lowest percentage of winning
any money at 0.15% (48 of 32,768 possibilities).

     PATTO is one of two people with 3 of their Final Four teams still
alive as most people have taken hits with Arizona, St. John's, Stanford,
and Temple getting early exits.  BASTOSBINATA (69) is the other which 
is why he can still win first despite being in 30th place.  LUCKYFROMSF
(67) sits in 32nd place but still has a slim chance to take first 
because he has LSU making the Final and Iowa St. making the Final Four.
In fact, those having Iowa St., Florida, Syracuse, LSU, UCLA, or 
Tennessee making the Final Four have a chance for 1st.  With JAYBIAN IV 
(30th, 69) eliminated and JEBUS (19th-3, 73) can't finishing higher 
than 3rd, it just leaves BIGSPIDERBECK (27th, 70) with a chance to become 
the first person to win the HWCI NCAA pool twice (he won in 1995).

     Two days ago it looked like we were going to see record numbers
put up by our participants as new highs were established.  Now, the
148 points put up by BIX PIX in 1995 will remain as no one will 
finish higher than 140.  This year's Second Round was the worst in
HWCI NCAA history (ALSTAR (8th-3, 77) had the high with 9 of 16 
correct) after following the best First Round in HWCI NCAA history.  
Only one person (BASTOSBINATA) has more than 4 possible correct teams
in Elite 8 and for the sixth straight year, no one will predict all 
4 Final Four teams correctly.  Just 17 have their champion in the 
tourney and 9 have their two Finalists still alive.

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My two entries on life support...
Scott HW

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